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7:15 AM · Auto-generated report
Brief anything
Brief: Executive summaries, distilled in seconds
MetricActualYoY ΔStatus
Net Revenue$87.4M−4.2%
Value Share7.8%−80 bps
HH Penetration14.2%−1.2 pts

The Gap: We are pacing $3.7M behind plan this month.

The Root: This isn't a national slump—it's a Midwest "structural break." Starbucks expanded promo depth at Kroger, triggering a 1.2pt drop in our household penetration.

The Risk: Brand health (NPS/Repeat) softened before the sales did. If we don't defend the April 22 Kroger Review, we risk losing 80 ACV points and doubling this decline in Q2.

Anytime · Ask anything about your data
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User Asked

"Why is Midwest so much worse than national?"

The Analysis

Concentration: The Midwest is 4.7x worse than the national average.

The Culprits: Kansas City & Detroit account for 50%+ of the total gap.

SKU Bleed: 93% of the dollar loss is tied to just three SKUs: Dark Roast, Ground Medium, and Decaf.

Critical Insight

This isn't just "lost sales"—it's "lost shelf." We've crossed the $12.49 price elasticity threshold. Above this price, volume collapses. Most of this bleed is commercially recoverable if we adjust pricing within 14 days.

Deterministic RCA
Why anything
Why: Performance gaps, decoded with clarity
Loss Tree
Midwest Value Share −140 bps
Fully reconciled
Midwest−140
Kansas City−4532%
Kroger−22
Walmart−15
Hy-Vee−8delist
Detroit−3324%
Kroger−16
Meijer−12delist
Walmart−5
St. Louis−2518%
Minneapolis−2014%
Cincinnati−1712%
Key Findings
Kroger
Responsible for −50 bps of the gap.
The “Decaf Hole”
Delisting at Hy-Vee and Meijer created a structural void that marketing cannot fix.
The Pricing Trap
Our Dark Roast 12oz is currently priced out of the competitive set in Detroit.
Recommended Strike Plan:
  1. Price Reset: Immediately drop Dark Roast 12oz to $11.99 in KC/Detroit.
  2. Shelf Defense: Deploy the "Kroger Defense Kit" to the sales team by 4/11.
  3. Relist: Automated outreach to Hy-Vee buyers to reactivate Decaf 12oz.
Leading indicators · Updated live
Signal anything
Signal: Proactive alerts, surfaced in advance
Early Warning System
3 Active Signals Detected
Action required
Social sentiment declining
Signal

“Too expensive” mentions up 34%.

Action

Review Midwest ad copy on “Premium Quality” immediately.

Branded search decline
Signal

Midwest branded search for “Northstar” −22%.

Action

Aggressive SEM re-bids on Decaf and Ground Coffee in the Midwest.

Kroger assortment review
Signal

64% chance of full delist at Kroger.

Action

Add to Account-level “Top-to-Top” meeting agenda on 4/14.

Unilever

LVMH

Colgate

Wings

Mayora

Godrej

ITC

Tropical General Investments Group

TGI Group

Unilever

LVMH

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Godrej

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Tropical General Investments Group

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Unilever

LVMH

Colgate

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Mayora

Godrej

ITC

Tropical General Investments Group

TGI Group

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